Two weeks ago, we looked at the situation of hospitalizations in Texas, three weeks after Governor Abbott lifted all COVID19 restrictions in Texas, and as was noted, there was no rise in hospitalizations. Now another two weeks later, we’ll have a second look to see whether hospitalizations picked up or not. The data is again from the Texas Department of Health Services and current as of April 8, 2021.
Hospitalizations are much lower, but seem to have leveled off for now. So, it’s still don’t look to bad now and there is no sign of an uptick in hospitalizations so far, but lets still keep an eye on this situation and re-visit the data in two weeks.
As you may recall, Texas Governor Greg Abbott lifted all COVID-19 restrictions in the State of Texas as of March 3, 2021. So, a bit more than three weeks into this, it’s time to have a first look at how the State of Texas is doing in terms of numbers. The data is from the Texas Department of Health Services and current as of March 26, 2021.
The green curve shows the situation in Texas statewide. While the blue, red and yellow curves show the situation in TSAs (Trauma Service Areas) Dallas/Fort Worth, San Antonio and Houston. I focused on these TSAs in previous posts, because they were the largest contributors in terms of total number of hospitalizations.
That don’t look too bad so far. Let’s check back again a week from now.
The downward movement of the total number of hospitalizations had stopped approximately three weeks ago and started to go up again after that. It’s still going up:
Let’s see whether this is a rise across all TSAs or whether there are local differences. The three main contributing TSAs in terms of number of hospitalizations are still E- Dallas/Fort Worth, P – San Antonio and Q – Houston. Houston after going down has leveled off. San Antonio also has leveled off too, but Dallas/Fort Worth is rising:
So we might want to conclude that the increase in hospitalizations seems to be due to local increases. Let’s look at the other TSAs, where previously, V- Lower Rio Grande Valley was the main contributor.
V – Lower Rio Grande Valley continues to go down, but now I – El Paso and A – Amarillo are coming up with El Paso now having more hospitalizations than Lower Rio Grande Valley. Other are stable – with some fluctuations up or down.
This shows the same image as above: The increase in hospitalizations looks like it is local in three to four TSAs.
These were the absolute numbers of COVID19 hospitalizations, but how do these compare to the hospital capacity over time?
It’s now slightly above 5%, at its peak it was slightly below 20%.
The data source is Texas Department of Health Services and the data is up to data as of August 21, 2020.
The downward movement of total number of hospitalizations in Texas continued past seven days:
The three main contributing TSAs (Trauma Service Areas) are still E – Dallas/Fort Worth, P – San Antonio and Q – Houston:
Houston has almost come down to the same level of hospitalizations as Dallas/Fort Worth and all three are going down in numbers.
V – Lower Rio Grande Valley is still the largest contributor, but still coming down nicely. O – Austin is also reducing hospitalizations in a significant manner.
It’s also interesting to compare total hospitalizations to total available beds:
You’ll note that for July 17 and July 22, 2020, there are more beds occupied than are available.
With the last chart is important to note that not all hospitals report all numbers in a timely manner. Or as Texas DSHS notes:
DSHS is reporting incomplete hospitalization numbers 7/23-7/28 due to a transition in reporting to comply with new federal requirements. DSHS continues to work with Texas hospitals during this transition to ensure all facilities can fully report the data required.